I-2021 idlulile kwaye uNyaka omtsha uqalile. Ukujonga emva konyaka, imarike yensimbi iye yanamahla ndinyuka.Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, ukubuyiswa koqoqosho lwehlabathi, ukukhula ngokukhawuleza kwezindlu zasekhaya kunye notyalo-mali olusisigxina. , ukuqhuba imfuno yensimbi, amaxabiso ensimbi kwindawo yokunyuka, ixabiso lalikhe labetha irekhodi eliphezulu.Embindini wonyaka, kwabakho iifowuni eziphindaphindiweyo ngamagosa aphezulu ukuba ahlawule amaxabiso eempahla ukusuka ekukhuphukeni ngokukhawuleza, kulandelwa. ngokulungiswa okubukhali kwiimpahla, ezikhokelwa yintsimbi.Uqoqosho lwasekhaya lwanyuka kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, imfuno yemarike iyancipha, amaxabiso emarike yensimbi awela ngokuthe ngcembe.

Okwangoku, abantu abaninzi bentsimbi endala abanelisekanga ngokusebenza kweemarike zensimbi ngoDisemba, ngokuqinisekileyo, kukho ukungafani kwimbono yemarike, ukuba ukunyuka akuzange kuphakame ngokwaneleyo, ukuba ukuwa akuzange kuwele ngokwaneleyo, nokuba yibala, okanye ikamva, zikwindawo phakathi komothuko.NgoJanuwari, ngenxa yoMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, ngaphandle koSuku loNyaka oMtsha kunye noMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo, akukho xesha lininzi lorhwebo olusebenzayo kwimarike. Ebusweni bokunciphisa imfuno, ixesha elininzi libangelwa yinkunzi kunye nemvakalelo, ngoko kuya kuba nexabiso elingaphezulu ngaphandle kweemarike.Ingakumbi phakathi kwamashishini e-logistics akwiholide, umboniso wezorhwebo wangempela uya kuncitshiswa. ixesha, intsingiselo yemarike ayikho ixabiso, ilele kwizinto ezilindelekileyo emva komthendeleko kunye neentlobo zezisombululo zomngcipheko.

Amaxabiso entsimbi anyuka aze ehla

Kumsebenzi wonyaka wemarike yentsimbi ngo-2021, abahlalutyi bathi imarike yentsimbi ngo-2021 ixhamle kumjikelo wokunyuka okuphambili kunye nokuphazamiseka kwecala lokubonelela, unyaka wonke ukuwa, iYang emva koxinzelelo, kumashishini entsimbi sisivuno esikhulu, kodwa amashishini ojikelezo lorhwebo kufuneka afumane kwaye alahlekelwe, iyonke ayilungile.

Ekupheleni kweemarike, iinkampani zentsimbi zithembela ngokucokisekileyo malunga nekamva.Valin Iron & Steel kutshanje yathi imveliso kunye nokusebenza kwenkampani kwikota yesine yayikwizinga eliqhelekileyo. Ngokubhekiselele kwiipleyiti, imfuno yokwakhiwa kweenqanawa, amandla omoya, iimoto kunye nezixhobo zasekhaya zazilungile. Inzuzo yebhodi yokwakha iinqanawa iye yagcina inqanaba elihle ukususela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke nokugcina umgangatho omhle kwixesha elizayo, ngelixa imfuno yoomatshini bokwakha kunye neelori ezinzima zazibuthathaka. ngenxa yempembelelo yemigaqo-nkqubo yolawulo lwezindlu, imfuno ibuthathaka, kodwa elona xesha lingenathemba lisenokuba lidlulile, kwaye imfuno yokwakhiwa kweebhulorho eziphezulu zihlala zizinzile.Imfuno yombhobho wentsimbi engenamthungo ezantsi kweoyile kunye nemfuno yoshishino lwegesi ezinzile.

Kwimeko yemarike ye-2022, abahlalutyi bathi imarike yensimbi iyonke kunyaka ozayo ilumkile, lo mjikelo wexesha elifutshane lomjikelo ophezulu kulo nyaka uqinisekisiwe, ngo-2022 kumjikelo we-ebb tide kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo wokubiyela ingqiqo enkulu, ixabiso lentsimbi kufuneka libe lilandelayo. step.Ukusukela kwiNkomfa ePhakathi yoMsebenzi kunye noQoqosho, sinokubona ukuba ukukhula okuzinzileyo kwi-2022 yindawo engazange ibonwe ngaphambili, kunye nentloko eyintloko yoPhuhliso lweSizwe kunye IKomishoni yoHlaziyo iye yade yacacisa ukuba "siya kuzisa ngononophelo imigaqo-nkqubo kunye nemilinganiselo kunye nefuthe lokunciphisa" .Ngokusekelwe kule nto, imvumelwano yemarike yangaphambili yokubonelelwa kabini kunye nephethini yokunciphisa imfuno ingaba nzima ukuvela, ukunikezelwa kwentsimbi kulindeleke ukuba kwandiswe. in 2022, imfuno uzinzile kunye nokwanda, ipateni iyonke yonikezelo.

Ngaba imarike inokunyuka emva koNyaka omtsha?

Ngena ngoJanuwari, imfuno yemarike iyancipha kwaye iyancipha, imarike ijikeleze ukulindela, ukugcinwa kwebusika kunye nomdlalo wenkunzi, akukho ntengiso ingaphezulu kwaye icacile.Okwangoku, ininzi yokugcinwa kwentsimbi yokugcinwa kwentsimbi kwixabiso lentambo kwi-4400-4500 yuan. Ikhefu, i-450-600 ephezulu kunonyaka odlulileyo, ishishini lilindeleke ukuba lizuze indawo lilinganiselwe, kodwa isimo sengqondo sokukhusela umgaqo-nkqubo wentsimbi sinokuzimisela ngakumbi.Imarike yendawo yonke iya kuba kufuphi nobusika. amaxabiso okugcina, ngoJanuwari unokuba nesithuba esincinci sokuhla, kodwa ubungakanani abuyi kuba bukhulu kakhulu.Emva komthendeleko, ngokukodwa ukubona imfuno, ngoFebruwari ubusika be-Olimpiki ukucinezelwa, ngoMatshi iiseshoni ezimbini zempembelelo, ngokutsho kwexesha kunye nokubala kwexesha lonyaka, indawo yokwenyani ukuqalisa ngo-Epreli, ukuba umgaqo-nkqubo phambi kwexabiso, kubandakanywa iiprojekthi zeziseko zophuhliso kunye nezinye iiprojekthi zezindlu, zilungele kwangaphambili, zinokushenxiswa ekupheleni kukaMatshi. NgoNovemba, kulindeleke ukuba kuqhume.

Kodwa kutheni ungafumani i-bullish kakhulu? Kwakhona ilula kakhulu, kwelinye icala, ixabiso elipheleleyo lentsimbi liyi-500-600 yuan ngaphezu kwexesha elifanayo kulo nyaka uphelileyo; Kwelinye icala, imo engqongileyo enkulu kunye nemeko yezoqoqosho yahlukile kweyokugqibela. unyaka kunye neminyaka embalwa edlulileyo. Ukukhula koqoqosho kulo nyaka uzayo kunokwenzeka ukuba kube yi-5.2% -5.8%, ukucotha kunye nokuqinisekisa uphuhliso oluzinzileyo.Imfuno yentsimbi ayisekho ukukhula okukhawulezayo nokuzinzileyo kwixesha elidlulileyo, kwaye kunokubakho ukwahlukana kwesakhiwo kwishishini elisezantsi. inkalo luthintelo lomgaqo-nkqubo. Ngo-2021, i-sequela yamalahle kunye ne-boom yezemigodi ayikapheli okwangoku, kwaye iya kunyuka kwakhona. Uzinzisa njani uqoqosho, uphuhliso olulinganiselweyo lwemveliso yemizi-mveliso, kunye nendlela yokuvuselela uqoqosho lokwenyani?Asifane sibone nantoni na efana nekota yokuqala ka-2021 okanye eyona nto iphakamileyo efike ngayo ngoMeyi.Ngaphakathi koluhlu olufanelekileyo, olunengqiqo kunye ngokomthetho, intsingiselo ayikho.

Ngoko ke, imarike phambi koMthendeleko Spring ayikho kakhulu bearish, hayi kakhulu bullish emva koMthendeleko Spring, kunyaka phambi kokulungiswa kwempahla kwindawo yokulungiselela, ungalahlekelwa kodwa ungenzi imali eninzi, lo ngurhulumente, imarike akufuneki ukuba ucinge kakhulu.