Mangwana Forecast

Parizvino, kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri emunyika yangu kunoramba kwakasimba. Iyo macro data yakanaka. Iwo mablack series futures akawedzera zvakanyanya. Yakabatana nekukanganiswa kwekukwira kwebillet kuguma, misika ichiri yakasimba. Vatengesi venguva yakaderera vanongwarira mukuraira. Mushure mekuwedzera, mamiriro ekutengeserana emusika ane chiedza uye vatengesi vane mafungiro akasimba. Mirira uye ona, manzwiro ezasi akazara, mutengo wepamusoro unokwira uye usingadi kutengesa, kukwira uye kudonha kunoenderera mberi nemutambo, tichifunga nezvesimba rakasimba, zvinotarisirwa kuti mutengo wesimbi ucharamba uchikwira mangwana.

1. Zvinhu zvinofurira ndizvo zvinotevera

1. China Hong Kong Association: Kushomeka kwemidziyo hakuna kuderedzwa

Sekureva kweChina Ports Association, chinyorwa chazvino che "Port Production Operation Monitoring and Analysis (Zvita 1st kusvika Zvita 10th)" (inozonzi "Ongororo") inoratidza kuti mukutanga kwaZvita, kutakurwa kwezviteshi zvemahombekombe emahombekombe kwakawedzera. gore-ne-gore 1.7%, iyo yekutengeserana kune dzimwe nyika kutakura kwekutakura kwakaderera ne 1.8% gore negore; Kugadzirwa kwechiteshi cheRwizi rweYangtze kwakaramba kuchienderera mberi, uye kubuda kwechiteshi chehub kwakawedzera ne12.3% gore negore.

2. Kukura kwekuwedzera kwekushandiswa kwemari mumwedzi 11 yekutanga kwakava kwakanaka

Huwandu hwebazi rezvemari hunoratidza kuti mumwedzi gumi neimwe yekutanga, kuwedzera kwemari yebhajeti rehurumende munyika yose yaive 0.7%, inova kekutanga kubva gore rino. Bazi rezvemari rakataura kuti mukupera kwaMbudzi, mari yakananga yakapihwa uye ichaongorora kuumbwa kweiyo yakajairwa mari yakananga mari. Huyero hwemari yakananga muna 2021 huchakwira kupfuura gore rino.

3. Kutengazve kwebhanga guru renyika kune kudzoka kwemayuan mabhiriyoni gumi nhasi.

Bhanga repakati rakatanga chirongwa chekutengazve mabhiriyoni gumi emadhora nhasi. Sezvo 20 bhiriyoni yuan yekudzoreredza kudzoreredza ichipera nhasi, mambure ekudzoka kwemabhiriyoni gumi eyuan akaonekwa pazuva iroro.

Chechipiri, nzvimbo yemusika

Simbi yekuvaka: kusimuka

Mhedzisiro yakasvibirira yakasimuka zvakasimba, misika haizogadziriswi panguva ino, manzwiro emusika haana kunaka, mamiriro ekutengeserana akanyarara, uye kutengeserana hakuna simba. Kusakwana kudiwa kwenzvimbo, kuderera kwevashambadziri kugadzirisa mitengo, kungwarira kudzika kwemvura mashandiro, uye yakasimba kumirira-uye-kuona manzwiro ekutenga paunenge uchiishandisa, tichifunga nezvekuwedzera kwemutengo wezvigayo zvesimbi, zvinotarisirwa kuti mitengo yezvinhu zvekuvaka inogona kusimba. mangwana.

Kubvisa simbi: kusimuka

Parizvino, kuderera kwekupa uye kuderera kwekutengesa kwakanaka kutsigirwa, asi nekuda kwekushomeka kwechigadzirwa chepasi chinodiwa, kutengeserana kwemusika kunokanganisa kune imwe nhanho. Nekukwidziridzwa kwakapetwa kaviri kwehupamhi hwehozhwa uye inogamuchirwa upstream strip simbi yekutengeserana, yakaderera-mutengo zviwanikwa zvinofambiswa Iyo yakaratidza kukwira kwakafara, asi mushure mekukwira kwakanyanya, vashoma chete vanogona kuwanikwa. Vazhinji vanogadzira vanotakura zvishoma. Zvinotarisirwa kuti mitengo yesimbi yema strip icharamba ichikwira mangwana.

Nhoroondo: Yakatsiga uye yakakwirira

Hozhwa dzenguva yemberi dzinosimudzirwa nekuvhundutsa kwakasimba, vatengesi vane mafungiro akanaka, uye zvinyorwa zvine simba. Zvishoma zvishoma zviwanikwa zvepasi zvinogona kutengeswa. Mamiriro ezvinhu ose achiri pakati. Munguva yakaderera yemusika wesimbi, vashandisi vepasi havadi kuunganidza muhuwandu hwakawanda, asi pasi pemusika unotsigirwa , Kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri kunochengetedza maitiro ane simba, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti mitengo yeprofile yemangwana ichabatanidzwa.

Pipe: iyo huru yakatsiga inosimuka

Iyo mbishi ine rutsigiro rwakasimba, uye ichakwira imwe 50 yuan nhasi. Vatengi vepasi vane chido chakasimba chekudonha. Zvisinei, vatengesi havasi kutumira zvakanaka, purofiti yavo inomanikidzwa, uye kuda kwavo kutevera kukwira kwakasimba. Musika unogona kudzikama nekuvandudza.

Chechitatu, musika wezvigadzirwa

Iron ore: kukwira kudiki

Parizvino, mutengo wemusika wakagadzikana uye wakasimba, uye vatengesi vachiri kutarisira kukwira. Yakabatana nemutengo uri kukwira wesimbi yenguruve, kusundidzira mitengo yesimbi kumusoro, iyo ikozvino yekutenga rhythm yemakambani esimbi yadzikira, kutengeserana kwakamira, zvirambidzo zvekuchengetedza kwezvakatipoteredza mune dzimwe nzvimbo dzeShanxi, uye kuputika kwechoto kudiwa Musika wesimbi wesimbi unotarisirwa kumhanya. zvakatsiga uye zvakasimba mangwana.

Scrap simbi: yakagadzikana uye munhu anosimuka nekudonha

Hozhwa dzenguva yemberi dzakatsvuka, chivimbo chemusika chawedzera, vatengesi vari kutakura zvinhu zvinoshingaira, zvimwe zvigayo zvesimbi zvakawedzera zvinosvika, uye hozhwa dzomunguva yemberi dzave dzichishanda mukuvhunduka. Sezvo mamiriro ekunze achitonhora, kudiwa kwemusika kuzasi kwakaderera, asi kushomeka kwezvinhu zvakasara kunotsigira mitengo yezvikara. Kudiwa kwesimbi yakaraswa kunoramba kusingachinji, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti mutengo wezvikara ungakwira zvishoma mangwana.

Coke: kusimuka

Nhanho yepfumbamwe yekuwedzera kwe50% yakadzika. Mushure mekuwedzera, maodha emakambani ekubikira uye kutumira aive akanaka. Hebei neShanxi coking zvidyarwa zvaive zvichiri kushanda pakuderedza kugona. Zvakabuda zvakaramba zvichidzikira. Iyo tight coke supply situation yakawedzera kusimbiswa. Mabhizinesi ekubika aiwanzove aine zvinyorwa zvakaderera. Kudiwa kwekuwedzerwa kwefekitari kwakakwira. Panyaya yezviteshi, mamiriro echiteshi akajairika, uye imwe coke inotengeswa kunze. Mabhizimisi ane tariro. Zvinotarisirwa kuti mutengo wekoka ungave wakasimba mangwana.

Nguruve iron: kuwedzera kwakadzikama

Nhanho yepfumbamwe yekuwedzera kwecoke yasvika. Iyo ore inoramba ichisimbisa, uye mari yenguruve yesimbi inoramba ichikwira, ichisundira mitengo yesimbi kumusoro. Parizvino, purofiti yemiti yesimbi inenge yave kurasikirwa. Kuwedzera kune yakasimba yenguruve simbi zviwanikwa munzvimbo dzakasiyana siyana, yakawanda simbi zvidyarwa zvinochengeta zvisina kunaka zvinyorwa uye zvinopa mitengo Zvine mhirizhonga, zvimwe zvirimwa zvesimbi zvinozeza kutengesa nemitengo yakakwira. Ikozvino kutumirwa kwemitengo yakakwira kunowanzo kukwira, asi kutsigirwa kwemutengo kwakasimba, uye zvimwe zvidyarwa zvesimbi zvinotarisirwa kumisa kugadzirwa munguva inotevera. Vanamuzvinabhizinesi vachiri kusimudzira, uye simbi yenguruve inotarisirwa kumhanya mangwana.