Isifingqo: U-Boris Krasnozhenov wakwa-Alfa Bank uthi ukutshalwa kwezimali kwezwe kwingqalasizinda kuzobuyisela emuva izibikezelo ezingaguquki kangako, okucatshangelwa ukukhula okufika ku-4% -5%.

I-China Metallurgical Industry Planning and Research Institute ilinganisela ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kwensimbi yaseShayina kungase kwehle ngo-0.7% kulo nyaka kusukela ngo-2019 kuya cishe ezigidini ezingu-981 mt. Ngonyaka odlule, i-think-tank yalinganisela umkhiqizo wezwe ku-988 million mt, wenyuka ngo-6.5% unyaka nonyaka.

Iqembu lababonisi u-Wood Mackenzie unethemba elithe xaxa, ubikezela ukukhuphuka okungu-1.2% kokuphumayo kwamaShayina.

Nokho, uKrasnozhenov ubona zombili lezi zilinganiso ziqapha ngokungafanele.

Ukukhiqizwa kwensimbi yaseChina kungase kuzuze u-4% -5% futhi kudlule i-1 billion mt kulo nyaka, kusho umhlaziyi wemboni yensimbi ezinze eMoscow, esekelwe isibikezelo sakhe ekutshalweni kwezwe kwempahla engashintshi (FAI).

I-FAI yangonyaka odlule izofinyelela ku-$8.38 trillion, noma cishe u-60% we-GDP yaseChina. Lokhu kokugcina, okubiza ama- $ 13.6 trillion ngo-2018, ngokwezilinganiso zeBhange Lomhlaba, kungadlula ama- $ 14 trillion ngo-2019.

I-Asian Development Bank ilinganisela ukuthi intuthuko esifundeni ibiza ama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-1.7 minyaka yonke, okuhlanganisa izindleko zokunciphisa ukuguquguquka kwesimo sezulu kanye nezindleko zokuzivumelanisa nezimo. Emalini etshaliwe eyizigidigidi ezingama- $26 esatshalaliswe eminyakeni eyishumi nesigamu kwaze kwaba ngu-2030, imali eyizigidi eziyizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-14.7 yabelwe amandla, ama- $ 8.4 trillion ezokuthutha kanye nama- $ 2.3 trillion wengqalasizinda yezokuxhumana, ngokusho kwebhange.

I-China ithatha okungenani ingxenye yalesi sabelomali.

U-Krasnozhenov wakwa-Alfa Bank uthe, nakuba ukusetshenziswa kwemali kwingqalasizinda kusalokhu kusinda kakhulu, ukulindela ukwenziwa kwensimbi kwamaShayina ukuthi kwehle kuze kufike ku-1% kuzoba okungalungile.