Hōʻuluʻulu manaʻo: Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Boris Krasnozhenov o Alfa Bank i ka hoʻopukapuka ʻana o ka ʻāina i ka ʻoihana e hoʻihoʻi i nā wānana conservative, e hoʻopaʻa ana i ka ulu ʻana a hiki i 4%-5%.

Ua manaʻo ka China Metallurgical Industry Planning and Research Institute e hiki i ka hana kila Kina ke hele mai ma 0.7% i kēia makahiki mai 2019 a ma kahi o 981 miliona mt. I ka makahiki i hala aku nei, ua manaʻo ka think-tank i ka hoʻopuka ʻana o ka ʻāina ma 988 miliona mt, ʻoi aku ka 6.5% makahiki ma ka makahiki.

ʻOi aku ka manaʻo o ka hui kūkākūkā ʻo Wood Mackenzie, e wānana ana i ka piʻi ʻana o 1.2% i ka hoʻopuka Kina.

Eia naʻe, ʻike ʻo Krasnozhenov i nā manaʻo ʻelua me ke akahele loa.

Loaʻa paha i ka 4% -5% ka nui o ke kila kila o Kina a ʻoi aku ma mua o 1 biliona mt i kēia makahiki, wahi a ka mea loiloi ʻoihana metala ma Moscow, e hoʻokumu ana i kāna wānana ma ka hoʻopukapuka kālā o ka ʻāina i nā waiwai paʻa (FAI).

ʻO ka FAI o ka makahiki i hala e hoʻonui i $ 8.38 trillion, a i ʻole 60% o ka GDP o Kina. ʻO ka mea hope loa, he $ 13.6 trillion ma 2018, ma ka World Bank manaʻo, hiki ke kiʻekiʻe i $ 14 trillion ma 2019.

Manaʻo ka Asian Development Bank he $1.7 trillion ka hoʻomohala ʻana i kēlā me kēia makahiki, me ka hoʻemi ʻana i ka hoʻololi ʻana i ke aniau a me nā kumukūʻai hoʻololi. ʻO ka huina kālā he $ 26 trillion i hoʻolaha ʻia ma waena o hoʻokahi makahiki a me ka hapa a hiki i 2030, ua hoʻokaʻawale ʻia kahi $ 14.7 trillion no ka mana, $ 8.4 trillion no ka lawe ʻana a me $ 2.3 trillion no ka ʻoihana kelepona, e like me ka waihona.

Lawe ʻo Kina i ka hapa liʻiliʻi o kēia kālā.

Ua hoʻopaʻapaʻa ʻo Krasnozhenov o Alfa Bank, ʻoiai ʻo ka hoʻolilo ʻana i nā ʻoihana e hoʻomau nei i ke kaumaha, ʻo ka manaʻo ʻana e lohi ka hana ʻana o Kina i ka 1% ʻaʻole i pololei.