2021, txuas ntxiv mus tob rau kev hloov kho ntawm cov khoom vaj khoom tsev steel yeeb nkab kev lag luam hauv peb lub teb chaws, txhawb kev hloov pauv ntsuab qis carbon kev lag luam, thiab cov kev hloov loj hauv lub teb chaws txoj cai kev lag luam, siv tswj kev muaj peev xwm, tso tawm, tshem tawm tag nrho cov hlau xa tawm se rebates, hauv qab no. keeb kwm ntawm kev ua tiav cov pa roj carbon ob npaug, tiv thaiv qhov kev xav tau hloov pauv ntawm qhov xwm txheej hauv tsev thiab txawv teb chaws, sim kov yeej cov khoom qub tus nqi nyuaj siab, Kev zom khoom ntawm kev tiv thaiv ib puag ncig thiab lwm yam xws li tus nqi ntawm kev nce ntau, kev paub txog "txo kom muaj nuj nqis. thiab txhim kho kev ua tau zoo "kev txhim kho zoo, kev ua haujlwm tag nrho ntawm kev lag luam yog qhov ruaj khov, ua kom tau raws li cov kev lag luam hauv qab steel xav tau thiab xyuas kom muaj kev rov qab los ntawm kev lag luam hauv lub tebchaws tau ua rau muaj txiaj ntsig zoo.

1 Steel yeeb nkab ntau lawm thiab pom meej noj nyob rau hauv Suav teb

Raws li cov ntaub ntawv welded yeeb nkab ntau lawm luam tawm los ntawm National Bureau of Statistics thiab cov yeeb nkab steel ceg raws li cov ntaub ntawv tsim tawm ntawm cov tswv cuab kev lag luam los kwv yees cov ntaub ntawv tsim cov yeeb nkab seamless steel, txij lub Ib Hlis Ntuj txog Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2021, lub teb chaws cov yeeb nkab steel ntau lawm ntawm 853.62 lab. tons, nqis 3.66%;Pom meej noj yog 78,811,600 tons, nqis 4.33% xyoo rau xyoo.Ntawm lawv, welded yeeb nkab ntau lawm ntawm 58.832 lab tons, nqis 3.57% xyoo rau xyoo;Pom pom kev siv yog 55.2763 lab tons, nqis 4.07% xyoo rau xyoo.Kev kwv yees ntau lawm ntawm seamless steel raj yog 26.80.00 lab tons, nqis 3.86% xyoo rau xyoo;Kev siv tau pom tseeb yog 23.5353 lab tons, nrog rau ib xyoos ib zaug poob ntawm 4.93%.Nws tuaj yeem pom tau tias nyob rau xyoo 2021, Tuam Tshoj cov yeeb nkab steel, seamless steel yeeb nkab, welded yeeb nkab ntau lawm thiab pom meej noj tau tsawg xyoo.Cov zis thiab pom tseeb ntawm kev siv cov kav hlau hauv Suav teb xyoo 2020-2021 yog qhia hauv Table 1 thiab Daim duab 1.

Los ntawm kev txheeb xyuas cov ntaub ntawv txheeb xyuas, tag nrho kev ua haujlwm zoo ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam steel yeeb nkab hauv thawj ib nrab xyoo 2021, tab sis cov khoom lag luam loj hlob zoo li nqaim, piv rau cov cuam tshuam los ntawm cov nqi hlau hlau thoob ntiaj teb tau nce siab hauv lub Tsib Hlis, yeeb nkab, phaj nqi tau nce siab, uas tau thawb cov nqi steel tau nce siab, tab sis qhov kev yuav khoom loj dua rau kev lag luam hauv qab, ua rau qhov kev thov tsis muaj zog.Tsis tas li ntawd, lub xeev ntawm kev lag luam steel los txo cov kev tsim cov hlau tsis zoo, kuj cuam tshuam rau qee lub lag luam, yog li xyoo 2021, Tuam Tshoj cov yeeb nkab steel ntau lawm yog ib qho kev poob qis.

2. steel yeeb nkab nqi hauv Suav teb

Txij li thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2020, vim qhov nce siab ntawm cov nqi ntawm cov khoom siv raw xws li hlau ore, cov nqi ntawm cov hlau thiab cov hlua hlau hauv Suav teb tau nce siab heev, raws li pom hauv daim duab 2-3, nrog rau cov nqi ntawm cov hlau. cev.

图

Tus nqi sib txawv ntawm seamless steel yeeb nkab, welded yeeb nkab thiab galvanized yeeb nkab nyob rau hauv Tuam Tshoj los ntawm 2020 txog 2021 yog qhia nyob rau hauv daim duab 4. Ntawm lawv, tus nqi ntawm φ 219 mm × 10 mm specifications seamless steel yeeb nkab sawv ceev ceev los ntawm Kaum ib hlis 2020, tus nqi. nce ntawm 4645 yuan mus rau 6638 yuan nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis 2021 (yog tus nqi siab tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 2008), nce ze li ntawm 2000 yuan, nce 42.9%;Tom qab lub Tsib Hlis 2021, tus nqi poob rov qab mus rau 6,160 yuan hauv Lub Xya Hli, nqis ze li 500 yuan, thiab tom qab ntawd tau nce mus rau 6,636 yuan nyob rau lub Kaum Hlis (qhov thib ob siab tshaj), thiab tom qab ntawd poob mus rau 5,931 yuan nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis.Tus nqi tau oscillating nyob rau theem siab txij li thaum pib ntawm lub xyoo.

Xyoo 2021 yog xyoo zoo tshaj plaws rau Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam steel txij li xyoo 2008, nrog cov txiaj ntsig kev lag luam tau zoo heev.Txawm li cas los xij, raws li ib qho ntawm cov khoom siv hlau thiab steel kev lag luam, cov yeeb nkab steel tsis tau txhim kho ntau npaum li phaj, bar, hlau thiab profile.Cov laj thawj yog raws li hauv qab no: ua ntej, txawm hais tias tus nqi ntawm cov yeeb nkab steel tau nce siab heev, tus nqi ntawm cov yeeb nkab steel tsis tau nce mus rau qhov siab vim qhov cuam tshuam ntawm cov nqi roj tsawg thiab cov nqi sib tw ntawm cov roj zoo yeeb nkab.Tus nqi sib txawv ntawm seamless steel yeeb nkab, galvanized ntawv, kub dov ntawv thiab rebar nyob rau hauv Tuam Tshoj los ntawm lub Plaub Hlis 2020 mus rau Lub ib hlis ntuj 2022 yog qhia nyob rau hauv daim duab 5. Nws yuav pom tau hais tias tus nqi ntawm galvanized ntawv nyob rau hauv 2021 yog ho siab tshaj ntawm seamless hlau. raj 300 ~ 750 yuan, thiab tus nqi ntawm ob ntau yam nyob rau hauv lwm xyoo yog siab thiab tsawg, feem ntau fluctuating ntawm txog 200 yuan.Qhov thib ob, vim qhov nce siab ntawm cov nqi raw khoom thiab cov khoom siv pabcuam, tus nqi sib txawv ntawm cov yeeb nkab steel thiab billet tseem nyob rau theem ntawm 2020, thiab cov nyiaj tau los ntawm cov khoom tsis tau txhim kho zoo heev.Hauv particular, roj zoo yeeb nkab ntau lawm cov lag luam, cuam tshuam los ntawm cov nqi roj tsawg thiab cov nqi sib tw ntawm cov roj zoo yeeb nkab, kev tswj xyuas kev lag luam yog qhov nyuaj, feem ntau cov lag luam yog nyob rau ntawm ntug ntawm cov nyiaj me me los yog poob, cov neeg lag luam tseem poob.

Xyoo 2021, txawm hais tias lub xeev tau hloov kho ob zaug cov nyiaj them se tawm ntawm cov khoom steel, kom cov nqi se rov qab mus rau 0, tab sis cov khoom xa tawm ntawm cov yeeb nkab steel tsis txo qis tab sis nce ntxiv.Cov laj thawj tseem ceeb yog raws li hauv qab no: ua ntej, vim muaj kev cuam tshuam los ntawm COVID-19, qee lub tuam txhab steel yeeb nkab txawv teb chaws tsis tau rov ua tiav tag nrho, thiab kev ua lag luam tau luv luv rau lub sijhawm, thiab cov yeeb nkab thoob ntiaj teb cov nqi muaj. nce siab (tus nqi ntawm qee cov khoom xa tawm yog siab dua li cov khoom siv hauv tsev);Thib ob, cov tuam txhab xa tawm tau txhawj xeeb txog cov teb chaws ua raws li kev nce nqi ntawm cov khoom xa tawm, yog li nce, ua kom lub zog ntawm kev xa tawm, qhov ntim ntawm cov khoom xa tawm hauv lub quarter thib plaub tau nce ntau.Thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2021, Tuam Tshoj cov yeeb nkab xa tawm yog 160.44% ntawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm 11 lub hlis dhau los.Tshwj xeeb, kev xa tawm ntawm seamless steel raj rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis yog 531,000 tons, 203.92 feem pua ​​​​ntawm qhov nruab nrab xa tawm ntawm 260,400 tons hauv thawj 11 lub hlis.Cov qauv no txuas ntxiv mus rau thawj peb lub hlis twg ntawm 2022.

3.2 Cov khoom tseem ceeb export

Raws li cov ntaub ntawv tso tawm los ntawm Tuam Tshoj General Administration ntawm Kev lis kev cai, Tuam Tshoj tus seamless steel yeeb nkab xa tawm nyob rau hauv 2021 3.3952 lab tons, ib xyoo-rau-xyoo kev loj hlob ntawm 3.79%.Ntawm lawv, seamless pipeline xa tawm yog 1.2743 lab tons, nqis 9.60% xyoo rau xyoo;Seamless roj zoo raj xa tawm 906,200 tons, nce 2.81% xyoo rau xyoo;Seamless boiler raj xa tawm 151,800 tons, ib xyoo-rau-xyoo txo ​​ntawm 15.22%;Kev xa tawm ntawm welded pipeline yeeb nkab yog 757,700 tons, nqis 9.16% xyoo rau xyoo;Kev xa tawm ntawm cov welded tshwj xeeb-zoo li tus thiab square square raj yog 1,325,400 tons, nce 4.41% xyoo-rau-xyoo.Xyoo 2021, vim muaj kev cuam tshuam los ntawm kev sib kis thoob ntiaj teb COVID-19 thiab kev them se tawm hauv tsev, cov khoom xa tawm ntawm Tuam Tshoj peb hom loj ntawm cov yeeb nkab seamless, seamless boiler yeeb nkab thiab welded yeeb nkab tau poob qis.Saib Table 3 thiab Daim duab 7 rau kev xa tawm ntawm cov yeeb nkab tseem ceeb hauv Suav teb xyoo 2020-2021.

3. Ntshuam thiab xa tawm cov yeeb nkab steel hauv Suav teb

3.1 Ntshuam thiab export ntim thiab nqi

Raws li cov ntaub ntawv tshaj tawm los ntawm General Administration ntawm Kev lis kev cai, Xyoo 2021, Tuam Tshoj cov yeeb nkab steel xa tawm ntawm 349,600 tons, nqis 7.21%;Tus nqi nruab nrab yog $ 3824 / t, nce 12.71% xyoo rau xyoo.Ntawm lawv, seamless steel raj imports ntawm 130,500 t, nqis 13.80%;Tus nqi nruab nrab yog $ 5769 / t, nce 13.32% xyoo rau xyoo.Welded yeeb nkab imports 219,100 tons, nqis 2.80%;Tus nqi nruab nrab yog peb $ 2671 / t, nce 18.31% xyoo rau xyoo.Hauv xyoo 2021, Tuam Tshoj tau xa tawm 7.17 lab tons ntawm cov raj steel, nce 4.19% xyoo rau xyoo;Tus nqi xa tawm nruab nrab yog $ 1542 / t, nce 36.5% xyoo rau xyoo.Ntawm lawv, seamless steel raj xa tawm 3.3952 lab tons, nce 3.79%;Tus nqi xa tawm nruab nrab yog $ 1,508 / t, nce 23.67% xyoo-rau-xyoo.Kev xa tawm ntim ntawm welded yeeb nkab yog 3.7748 lab tons, nce 4.55% xyoo rau xyoo;Tus nqi nruab nrab xa tawm yog $ 1573 / t, nce 49.99% xyoo rau xyoo.Nyob rau hauv 2021, Tuam Tshoj tus steel yeeb nkab ntshuam ntim tsuas yog 0.41% ntawm steel yeeb nkab ntau lawm, welded yeeb nkab export nqi yog siab dua seamless steel yeeb nkab thawj zaug.Saib Table 2 thiab Daim duab 6 rau kev xa tawm thiab xa tawm ntim thiab feem ntawm cov yeeb nkab steel hauv Suav teb xyoo 2020-2021.

3.3 Ntshuam thiab Exporting Lub Tebchaws

Xyoo 2021, 10 lub teb chaws ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj seamless steel yeeb xa tawm yog South Kauslim, Is Nrias teb, UNITED Arab Emirates, Algeria, Thaib, Oman, Indonesia, Qaib ntxhw, Nyab Laj, Australia, 10 welded steel yeeb nkab exporters yog Philippines, Nigeria, Myanmar, Australia, Kaus Lim Qab Teb, Peru, Chile, Indonesia, Singapore thiab Canada.Lub teb chaws cov hom phiaj ntawm Tuam Tshoj cov yeeb nkab steel xa tawm feem ntau yog nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Asia, Middle East thiab lwm thaj chaw, ntawm cov teb chaws Asia sab hnub tuaj, Gulf thiab lwm thaj chaw suav txog ntau dua 40% ntawm Tuam Tshoj cov khoom xa tawm.Thaum nyob hauv Europe, North America, yog ib qho ntawm cov neeg siv khoom tseem ceeb ntawm cov hlau, tab sis txij li thaum lub ntiaj teb nyiaj txiag teeb meem hauv xyoo 2008, thaj av txuas ntxiv tsim kev lag luam tshuaj ntsuam xyuas cov yeeb nkab steel hauv peb lub teb chaws, tam sim no xa tawm mus rau thaj tsam ntawm cov hlau. raj tso nyiaj tsawg dua 6%, Tuam Tshoj tus loj tshaj export ob hom (roj yeeb nkab, kab yeeb nkab) yuav luag rau hauv cov teb chaws thiab cheeb tsam.Kev xa tawm ntim ntawm Tuam Tshoj cov yeeb nkab steel los ntawm lub teb chaws lossis cheeb tsam hauv 2020-2021 yog pom hauv daim duab 8.